summary of the TUC budget proposals to Rachel Reeves

 Summary of the TUC's budget submission to Rachel Reeves

The UK faces an unprecedented set of challenges, including

• low growth
• falling living standards
• decimated public services

Workers have endured the worst pay crisis for two centuries. Real pay is going down while around 4 million people are in highly insecure work. (it's a hell of a lot more than 4 million)

The poor performance is attributed to reckless cuts to public investment, a bad Brexit deal, and a lack of genuine industrial or labour market policy.

Chronic under-investment has hollowed out Britain's industrial communities, and cuts to public services disproportionately affect those on the lowest incomes.

More investment is necessary.

To enable this, the TUC calls for significant revenue-raising measures:

The TUC advocates for addressing the imbalances in how labour and capital are taxed. Specific proposals to raise revenue include:

• A significant increase in the bank surcharge.
• Substantial capital gains tax reform.
• Increased taxation on gambling companies.
• A 2% tax on assets over £10 million, which the TUC estimates could raise up to £24 billion a year.

The National Wealth Fund should be expanded and given powers to borrow directly from capital markets. The government should also establish an independent commission to review and evolve the processes for managing public finances.

Raising Living Standards
The TUC stresses that economic policy must target rising living standards, as consumer spending is essential for growth.

Immediate action is needed, including measures to bring down domestic energy costs and an end to the two-child benefit cap.

The TUC calls for a joined-up labour market policy focusing on more and better jobs, including an ambitious quality training or decent first job guarantee for young people.

Implementation of the employment rights bill is essential, which the TUC projects will improve job security for millions of workers and deliver annual net economic gains of around £10 billion a year.

Investment in public services must be sustained. A key demand is an active dialogue with public service unions on a plan to restore public sector pay to resolve the current recruitment and retention crises.

Support is needed across foundation industries to ensure competitive industrial electricity prices, including the introduction of an interim support scheme for industry on the brink of closure.

the 1970s and the mistaken end of Keynes

 

the 1970s and the end of Keynes

From WW2 to the end of the 1970s Keynesian economic policies by Labour and Conservatives led to increased living standards like never before. It went with the feeling ‘we’ll never let (the poverty of the 1930s) happen again.

Certain problems that arose in the 1970s mistakenly gave rise to the end of Keynesian economics.

Inflation and unemployment rose

It was wrongly thought that Keynesianism was dead

It was wrongly thought that something else was needed

Global factors that would quickly pass were ignored and the wrong actions were taken regarding them.

The main factor was two oil price hikes

The oil price hikes caused other prices to rise

Unions sought pay rises to match the price rises.

Government panicked and made things worse. It wasn’t Keynes that failed it was government actions regarding the oil crises and price and wage rises that failed. (and is still failing)

1in 1971 the world dropped the link to the gold standard

The Bretton Woods international money agreement formed in 1945 came to an end.

Everything went OK with this but. The British government tried to over value the pound. It was this combined with the oil price shock, price rises and corresponding wage rises that caused inflation.

It was not the Keynesian economic policies – they were working OK. If the government had held it’s nerve the crisis would have passed like a wave underneath. The same things were happening in America.

Unknown persons acting as advisors were able to influence Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Regan. Or Thatcher and Regan were stumped as what to do and asked unknown advisors what to do. Or both.

I think it was Oliver Letwin in Britain that more or less said why don’t you try a ‘Free market’ approach. Whatever happened a major mistake took shape that has caused ongoing damage that is still going on today.

The economic fringe ideas, (that were considered crackpot ideas) of Milton Friedman suddenly became popular and the go to ideology in Britain and America. Then it spread across the west, more slowly and less completely across Europe but stronger in the UK.

These new ideas said…

•       State spending was (and still is) too high
•       Free markets are good Public sector is bad
•       Private sector spending is good
•       Government spending is bad.
•       High profits are good
•       Wage rises are bad
•       Entrepreneurs and business in general is good
•       Unions are bad

Keynes ran the UK economy behand the scenes in both WW1 and WW2. Keynes was a major influence in winning both of these wars. Keynes was as much a factor in winning the wars as Churchill for example.

State intervention and state action was required during the wars.

Keynes knew that inflation was a result of three interlinking factors.

Government consumers capital

There’s a kind of power battle between these three economic groups

Governments are the most powerful and can influence the whole economic activity. Under the influence of Friedman governments dropped their level of economic influence and forced the level of influence of consumers down in favour of capital (or profits). This is where it all went wrong. This is where and why things are still going wrong!

Dennis Healey was the first chancellor to get it wrong by not controlling resources.

Reeves is continuing the errors that started in the 1970s

Wages are still forced down and low pay is the main underlying problem with the UK and the US economies.

Thyere is no such thing as free markets so oligopolies formed along with capitalist oligarchs. Yes they are here as well as Russia.

Low paid rentier economy emerged and is still growing.

Pay is going down.

YES pay is actually going down. Prices are going up. Small number of people are profiting most are suffering real income reduction.

The Friedman so called free market ideology was originally called Thatcherism but is popularly called neoliberalism.

The move away from Keynes turned the economy from being demand or consumer led to supply or business led. where profits are the most important consideration over and above consumer spending. This benefits a small number of oligarch type millionaires and now billionaires but leaves the majority suffering low pay and no ability to spend. It leads to the inevitable decline seen in western economies, especially the UK and the USA.

The supply driven economy

·       Drives inflation up

·       Drives wages down

·       Governments are making the same mistakes

·       Making things worse.

Giving markets more and people less is plain stupid but it still goes on. Neoliberalism tries to cure the problems by cutting public spending and enforcing austerity. Exactly the opposite of what is needed. Most people fall for the neoliberal spin.

spinning a false, fake, phoney free market economy

The solution is a return to Keynes, socialism or fascism when the economy collapses and the UK and American economies are in meltdown.

Reclaim Keynes with:

• ·       Economy based on consumer demand
• ·       Consumers more, markets and profits less
• ·       State investment on a huge scale
• ·       Politics of care
• ·       Wide distribution of benefits
• ·       Role of government is to help consumers prosper not to boost profits.

Economic failure started in the 1970s and is

continuing today because governments

abandoned Keynes for fringe ideas

that are failing you and failing me

bring back Keynes

Source information Richard Murphy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcrGuICZUWc

 

Manifesto to turn LINO - Labour in name only into a genuine Labour party

Enforcing Working Class MP Candidate Selection

The Trade Union movement has an institutional and democratic duty to enforce the selection of candidates drawn exclusively from working class backgrounds, preferably those with frontline work experience. We established the Labour Party to secure a direct voice for the people who create the wealth of this country. When the party’s parliamentary wing is overwhelmingly staffed by career graduates who speak the language code of the 'University Common Room,' the party is structurally incapable of hearing the voices of the shop floor, the hospital ward, the warehouse, the call centre or the factory line.

 

This disconnect is not accidental; it is a fundamental democratic failure that leaves the vast majority of affiliated union members without authentic representation, turning the Labour movement into a passive political concerto.

 

This failure of representation translates directly into political and economic incompetence, making change a strategic necessity.

 

The current Shadow Cabinet, typified by the Starmer/Reeves leadership, has demonstrated a willingness to adopt neoliberal, Thatcherite economic policies because they lack the lived experience to understand their destructive impact on frontline communities. A mandate demanding candidates with genuine working-class backgrounds would end this strategic blindness.

 

These candidates inherently possess the knowledge to prioritize domestic working-class investment over abstract geopolitical posturing and would ensure the economic policies of the next Labour Government are aligned with the interests of the people who fund the party.

 

Enforcing the mandate of recruiting MPs from frontline working class backgrounds, who preferably have front line working class job experience is the only way to re-assert the unions' stewardship and political influence over the Labour Party.

 

The Trade Union movement created, funded, and has sustained the Labour Party, yet it has allowed the party to be hijacked by a socially and linguistically disconnected elite. By using the power of the Trade Union movement and the threat of withdrawing endorsement or funding, we can force the selection of a new generation of MPs who look like the women and men operating industrial machinery, the people in the call centres, the people driving the delivery vans, the men and women in the warehouses and the women and men emptying the bins of Birmingham.

 

This is not just a call for better representation; it is the act of taking control and securing a working-class future for the party we formed built and own.

Turn LINO - labour in name only into a genuine Labour party